As of 2026-07-21, prediction markets estimate a 1% probability. Based on Manifold with M$81,423 in volume.

Manifold🌐 OtherEnds Aug 2026

Will I make IMO ever

Current probability

Long shot

YESNO 99%

CreatedToday (78% elapsed)Closes Aug 2026

Volume

M$81,423

Avg Bet

$783 avg

Traders

104

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history

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Estimate your potential profit

Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$6992.20

Total payout

$7092.20

Return

6992%

Based on current 1% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.