Skip to main content
Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2028

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

Current probability

28%

Unlikely
YESNO 72%
CreatedToday (18% elapsed)Closes Jan 2028

Volume

M$13.7M

Avg Bet

$3.0k avg

Traders

4,572

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$259.58

Total payout

$359.58

Return

260%

Based on current 28% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? — 28% chance | Predacle