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Manifold๐ŸŒ OtherEnds Jan 2060

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

Current probability

57%

Toss-up
YESNO 43%
CreatedToday (0% elapsed)Closes Jan 2060

Volume

M$85,361

Avg Bet

$899 avg

Traders

95

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$75.44

Total payout

$175.44

Return

75%

Based on current 57% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060] โ€” 57% chance | Predacle