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Manifold💻 TechEnds Mar 2030

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Current probability

98%

Strong YES
YESNO 2%
CreatedToday (7% elapsed)Closes Mar 2030

Volume

M$697,061

Avg Bet

$2.0k avg

Traders

345

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$2.04

Total payout

$102.04

Return

2%

Based on current 98% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030? — 98% chance | Predacle