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Manifold💻 TechEnds Mar 2030

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Current probability

95%

Strong YES
YESNO 5%
CreatedToday (4% elapsed)Closes Mar 2030

Volume

M$664,943

Avg Bet

$1.9k avg

Traders

342

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$5.14

Total payout

$105.14

Return

5%

Based on current 95% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030? — 95% chance | Predacle