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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Current probability

64%

Toss-up
YESNO 36%
CreatedToday (83% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$237,822

Avg Bet

$741 avg

Traders

321

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$57.28

Total payout

$157.28

Return

57%

Based on current 64% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms? — 64% chance | Predacle