Polymarket🔬 Science
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4%Long shot↓1%
$17.0M· Dec 2026
🔬Science Prediction Markets
154 live science markets across 6 platforms
Science prediction markets price the likelihood of research breakthroughs, space missions, health milestones and other discoveries. Predacle collects science-related odds across prediction platforms so you can compare probabilities and track how sentiment shifts as new evidence arrives.
Manifold🔬 Science
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
26%Unlikely
M$4.7M· $2.1k avg· Jan 2040
Polymarket🔬 Science
Human moon landing in 2026?
2%Long shot↓1%
$2.0M· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
New pandemic in 2026?
7%Long shot↓4%
$911,058· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2%Long shot↓2%
$727,224· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4%Long shot↓5%
$666,022· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
8%Long shot↓4%
$575,983· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
1%Long shot
M$479,032· $1.4k avg· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
17%Long shot↓13%
$413,470· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
1%Long shot
$392,166· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
23%Unlikely↓8%
$334,375· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
28%Unlikely↑13%
$211,598· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
47%Toss-up↑12%
$187,232· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
1%Long shot↓9%
$140,000· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
17%Long shot
M$106,425· $384 avg· Jan 2030
Manifold🔬 Science
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
1%Long shot
M$71,882· $510 avg· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
10%Long shot↑8%
$65,161· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
3%Long shot
M$62,614· $203 avg· Dec 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
3%Long shot↓2%
$56,865· Sep 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?
12%Long shot
M$55,201· $366 avg· Jan 2071
Manifold🔬 Science
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
28%Unlikely
M$50,984· $283 avg· Dec 2028
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
7%Long shot↓3%
$49,593· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
1%Long shot
M$42,714· $378 avg· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?
15%Long shot
M$36,834· $187 avg· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
9%Long shot
M$34,332· $165 avg· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?
67%Likely YES
M$34,211· $116 avg· Jan 2050
Manifold🔬 Science
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
18%Long shot
M$31,573· $433 avg· Dec 2029
Manifold🔬 Science
Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027?
6%Long shot
M$28,330· $1.3k avg· Dec 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
40%Unlikely
M$26,610· $258 avg· Jan 2100
Manifold🔬 Science
Will at least 1 non-passenger get hantavirus from the MV Hondius outbreak?
2%Long shot
M$23,555· $162 avg· Jul 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Asteroid 2024 YR4 hit earth?
1%Long shot
M$22,157· $471 avg· Dec 2032
Manifold🔬 Science
Will NASA assign asteroid YR4 an impact probability of ≥4.0% before June 2029?
2%Long shot
M$22,135· $418 avg· Jun 2029
Manifold🔬 Science
will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]
1%Long shot
M$21,958· $354 avg· Oct 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Nuclear weapon used offensively in 2026
3%Long shot
M$21,553· $392 avg· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
31%Unlikely
M$18,330· $705 avg· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
1%Long shot
M$18,135· $288 avg· Dec 2026
See how accurate markets have been on our track record page.