Polymarket🔬 Science
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
3%Long shot↓1%
$18.0M· Jan 2027
🔬Science Prediction Markets
189 live science markets across 6 platforms
Science prediction markets price the likelihood of research breakthroughs, space missions, health milestones and other discoveries. Predacle collects science-related odds across prediction platforms so you can compare probabilities and track how sentiment shifts as new evidence arrives.
Manifold🔬 Science
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
29%Unlikely
M$4.8M· $2.2k avg· Jan 2040
Polymarket🔬 Science
Human moon landing in 2026?
1%Long shot↓1%
$2.0M· Jan 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
New pandemic in 2026?
6%Long shot↓1%
$1.1M· Jan 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%Long shot
$815,118· Jan 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4%Long shot↑1%
$719,200· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? [Polymarket]
1%Long shot
M$716,131· $2.0k avg· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%Long shot↑1%
$580,022· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
12%Long shot↓9%
$417,157· Jan 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
2%Long shot↓2%
$414,882· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
16%Long shot↓9%
$341,099· Jan 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6%Long shot
$313,213· Jan 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
34%Unlikely↑5%
$212,911· Jan 2027
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
45%Toss-up↑3%
$188,627· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
50%Toss-up
M$128,590· $272 avg· Jan 2045
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Starship reach Mars by 2030?
16%Long shot
M$107,411· $388 avg· Jan 2030
Manifold🔬 Science
Hantavirus Pandemic 2026-2027?
4%Long shot
M$95,543· $4.0k avg· Dec 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]
24%Unlikely
M$90,252· $187 avg· Dec 2028
Polymarket🔬 Science
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?
4%Long shot↓14%
$83,878· Nov 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
5%Long shot↑1%
$75,957· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
2%Long shot
M$73,014· $518 avg· Dec 2026
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
8%Long shot↓2%
$68,377· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
3%Long shot
M$62,614· $203 avg· Dec 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?
53%Toss-up
M$57,824· $230 avg· Dec 2029
Polymarket🔬 Science
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
1%Long shot
$57,555· Oct 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?
12%Long shot
M$55,211· $363 avg· Jan 2071
Manifold🔬 Science
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
28%Unlikely
M$50,984· $283 avg· Dec 2028
Manifold🔬 Science
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
1%Long shot
M$42,716· $378 avg· Dec 2026
Manifold🔬 Science
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
40%Unlikely
M$39,875· $391 avg· Jan 2100
Manifold🔬 Science
Will Luigi Magione’s defense claim mental health or substance impairment in court?
15%Long shot
M$36,890· $187 avg· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Health issues from 100% Huel diet discovered by 2035?
74%Likely YES
M$36,790· $350 avg· Dec 2034
Polymarket🔬 Science
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
13%Long shot↓24%
$36,759· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
8%Long shot
M$36,246· $171 avg· Jan 2027
Manifold🔬 Science
Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?
67%Likely YES
M$34,211· $116 avg· Jan 2050
Manifold🔬 Science
Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?
18%Long shot
M$31,573· $433 avg· Dec 2029
Manifold🔬 Science
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus supporting the existence of past or present life on Mars?
40%Unlikely
M$26,610· $258 avg· Jan 2100
See how accurate markets have been on our track record page.